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LLM-selected modes based on XGBoost and Monte Carlo inputs
| Slot | Player | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | Jacoby Brissett | CIN | 20.3 | 21.0 | BOOM | MEDIUM |
| RB | Bucky Irving | MIA | 14.7 | 14.5 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| RB | Omarion Hampton | HOU | 14.9 | 12.5 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | CAR | 21.8 | 18.5 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | CIN | 12.9 | 15.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| TE | Juwan Johnson | TEN | 10.2 | 9.5 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| WR | Jameson Williams | MIN | 13.4 | 12.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| K | Jason Myers | CAR | 8.4 | 9.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
| D/ST | Chargers D/ST | HOU | 6.3 | 9.0 | MODERATE | MEDIUM |
Maximize ceiling for must-win championship matchup. Rashee Rice OUT creates urgent need.
Consistent TE1 option. With Juwan Johnson as only TE, could use backup. Jets allow average TE production. Hunter Henry has 10+ pts in multiple recent ...
Stacks with Chargers offense. Even in tough matchup, Herbert's WR2 has boom potential. Could replace injured Rice's ceiling.
Deep threat in Seattle. With DK Metcalf traded to Steelers, more targets available. Stacks with JSN and Darnold in SEA @ CAR game.
⚠️ Avoid: Keenan Allen, Garrett Wilson, Jayden Daniels
See Waivers tab for full analysis and injury opportunities.
Championship Week 17 is a closer matchup than ESPN suggests. Kitty's Piggy Skins shows 114.6 projected, but Quinshon Judkins (0.0 in FLEX) will be replaced - likely by Hunter Henry TE (10.7) or similar FA, pushing them to ~125 points. Our 131 projection gives us a 6-point edge (58% win probability). Key advantages: Brissett vs CIN (27th vs QB) in 53.5-total shootout, JSN vs CAR as WR2 overall. Key concerns: Jordan Love's questionable status and Rashee Rice's IR. Every point matters in this championship.
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | QB | 20.3 | 21.0 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | RB | 14.7 | 14.5 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | RB | 14.9 | 12.5 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | WR | 13.4 | 12.0 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | WR | 21.8 | 18.5 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | TE | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | RB/WR/TE | 12.9 | 15.0 |
| Jason Myers | K | K | 8.4 | 9.0 |
| Chargers D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 6.3 | 9.0 |
| Devin Singletary (bench) | RB | BE | 9.3 | 6.5 |
| Isiah Pacheco (bench) | RB | BE | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| Jayden Reed (bench) | WR | BE | 9.8 | 10.5 |
| Rams D/ST (bench) | D/ST | BE | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Sam Darnold (bench) | QB | BE | 15.9 | 16.5 |
| Tetairoa McMillan (bench) | WR | BE | 12.3 | 10.0 |
| Tyjae Spears (bench) | RB | BE | 9.9 | 8.0 |
| Rashee Rice (bench) | WR | IR | 13.7 | --- |
| Player | Pos | Slot | ESPN | LLM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | QB | QB | 20.5 | 19.0 |
| De'Von Achane | RB | RB | 22.3 | 20.0 |
| James Cook III | RB | RB | 17.2 | 16.5 |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | WR | 11.9 | 13.5 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | WR | 13.2 | 14.0 |
| Tyler Warren | TE | TE | 12.1 | 11.0 |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | RB/WR/TE | 12.4 | 13.0 |
| Cairo Santos | K | K | 8.4 | 7.0 |
| Broncos D/ST | D/ST | D/ST | 8.9 | 9.0 |
| Buccaneers D/ST (bench) | D/ST | BE | 5.7 | --- |
| Chase McLaughlin (bench) | K | BE | 8.0 | --- |
| Chimere Dike (bench) | WR | BE | 10.7 | --- |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. (bench) | RB | BE | 10.7 | --- |
| Dallas Goedert (bench) | TE | BE | 10.8 | --- |
| Taysom Hill (bench) | TE | BE | 10.4 | --- |
| Trevor Lawrence (bench) | QB | BE | 19.4 | --- |
Projections: ESPN 20.3 | LLM 21.0 (BOOM)
Reasoning: MC: 74% BOOM (historical). XGB: 13.5% boom, 36.4% bust (this week). DISAGREEMENT - MC strongly favors boom based on Brissett's pattern of big games. Context supports MC: CIN allows 22.2 fppg to QBs (27th), game total 52.5 is elite. Mode: BOOM. Projection: 21.0 pts (within BOOM range 15-27).
Context: O/U: 52.5 | ECR: 8
MC (Historical): BUST: 24% | MODERATE: 2% | BOOM: 74%
XGB (This Week): Boom 14% | Bust 36% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | HOU | 13.9 | 16.0 | 20.6 | +6.7 |
| 14 | LAR | 15.3 | 19.0 | 19.0 | +3.7 |
| 13 | TB | 17.2 | 20.5 | 19.6 | +2.4 |
| 12 | JAX | 16.7 | - | 18.7 | +1.9 |
| 11 | SF | 17.9 | - | 21.9 | +3.9 |
| 10 | SEA | 15.3 | - | 19.4 | +4.2 |
| 9 | DAL | 19.4 | - | 24.8 | +5.4 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 16.6 | - | 19.8 | +3.2 |
| 6 | IND | 13.4 | - | 20.7 | +7.3 |
| 5 | TEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | CAR | 0.0 | - | 0.2 | +0.2 |
| 1 | NO | 0.1 | - | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Projections: ESPN 15.9 | LLM 16.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 37% MODERATE, 25% BOOM (historical). XGB: 13.3% boom, 43.8% bust (this week). CAR defense rank 7 vs QB (15.9 fppg). Game total 42.5 is moderate. Seattle should control game, limiting upside. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 16.5 pts (within MODERATE range 13-22).
Context: O/U: 42.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 38% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 25%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 44% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | IND | 15.2 | - | 11.3 | -3.8 |
| 14 | ATL | 14.3 | - | 22.3 | +8.0 |
| 13 | MIN | 15.2 | - | 3.1 | -12.1 |
| 12 | TEN | 15.2 | - | 17.7 | +2.5 |
| 11 | LAR | 15.0 | - | 4.3 | -10.8 |
| 10 | ARI | 16.6 | - | 4.9 | -11.7 |
| 9 | WSH | 18.2 | - | 27.2 | +8.9 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 14.9 | - | 8.6 | -6.3 |
| 6 | JAX | 15.3 | - | 20.0 | +4.7 |
| 5 | TB | 13.2 | - | 27.6 | +14.4 |
| 4 | ARI | 13.0 | - | 16.1 | +3.1 |
| 3 | NO | 14.1 | - | 16.7 | +2.7 |
| 2 | PIT | 12.8 | - | 15.8 | +3.0 |
| 1 | SF | 15.3 | - | 5.4 | -9.9 |
Projections: ESPN 14.7 | LLM 14.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 59% MODERATE, 17% BOOM (historical). XGB: 12.9% boom, 48.2% bust (this week). DISAGREEMENT - XGB high bust but MC favors moderate. MIA allows 15.4 fppg to RBs (14th), game total 45.5. Workhorse role with no injury concerns. Trust MC. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 14.5 pts (within MODERATE range 10-18).
Context: O/U: 45.5 | ECR: 15
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 58% | BOOM: 17%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 48% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | ATL | 15.2 | 14.0 | 8.1 | -7.1 |
| 14 | NO | 16.4 | 16.0 | 16.1 | -0.3 |
| 13 | ARI | 11.8 | 12.0 | 16.1 | +4.3 |
| 12 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | BUF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | NE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | NO | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | SEA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | PHI | 17.5 | - | 25.5 | +8.0 |
| 3 | NYJ | 17.9 | - | 13.9 | -4.0 |
| 2 | HOU | 15.9 | - | 18.1 | +2.2 |
| 1 | ATL | 17.3 | - | 14.5 | -2.8 |
Projections: ESPN 9.9 | LLM 8.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 61% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 17.6% boom, 37.6% bust (this week). NO allows 17.5 fppg to RBs (20th). Backup role limits ceiling. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 8.0 pts (within MODERATE range 6-13).
Context: O/U: 39.5 | ECR: 38
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 18% | Bust 38% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SF | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.6 | -4.4 |
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | - | 6.5 | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | - | 8.4 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | - | 9.2 | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | - | 17.2 | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | - | 7.0 | -0.8 |
| 6 | LV | 5.6 | - | 9.0 | +3.4 |
| 5 | ARI | 5.4 | - | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| 4 | HOU | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 14.9 | LLM 12.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 43% MODERATE, 25% BOOM (historical). XGB: 9.0% boom, 57.7% bust (this week). DISAGREEMENT - XGB very high bust but HOU defense (rank 8 vs RB, 13.4 fppg) is tough. Volume should provide floor. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 12.5 pts (within MODERATE range 8-17).
Context: O/U: 39.5 | ECR: 17
MC (Historical): BUST: 32% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 25%
XGB (This Week): Boom 9% | Bust 58% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | KC | 11.7 | 10.0 | 7.5 | -4.2 |
| 14 | PHI | 12.1 | 8.0 | 14.7 | +2.6 |
| 13 | LV | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 12 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | PIT | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | TEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | MIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | MIA | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | WSH | 18.6 | - | 13.0 | -5.6 |
| 4 | NYG | 16.7 | - | 27.5 | +10.8 |
| 3 | DEN | 12.2 | - | 24.9 | +12.7 |
| 2 | LV | 15.7 | - | 3.5 | -12.2 |
| 1 | KC | 14.7 | - | 8.1 | -6.6 |
Projections: ESPN 9.3 | LLM 6.5 (BUST)
Reasoning: MC: 61% BUST (historical). XGB: 9.6% boom, 60.4% bust (this week). AGREEMENT - Both strongly favor bust. LV allows 18.0 fppg to RBs (24th - easier) but Singletary's workload is inconsistent. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.5 pts (within BUST range 2-8).
Context: O/U: 41.5 | ECR: 45
MC (Historical): BUST: 61% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 18%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | WSH | 10.8 | 6.0 | 2.4 | -8.4 |
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NE | 6.3 | - | 19.2 | +12.9 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | - | 4.7 | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | - | 17.7 | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | - | 10.3 | +0.6 |
| 9 | SF | 5.5 | - | 7.1 | +1.6 |
| 8 | PHI | 1.2 | - | 3.8 | +2.6 |
| 7 | DEN | 0.8 | - | 0.2 | -0.6 |
| 6 | PHI | 1.0 | - | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | NO | 6.0 | - | 3.4 | -2.6 |
| 4 | LAC | 7.4 | - | 2.8 | -4.6 |
| 3 | KC | 1.1 | - | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| 2 | DAL | 3.2 | - | 1.0 | -2.2 |
| 1 | WSH | 3.5 | - | 0.9 | -2.6 |
Projections: ESPN 8.9 | LLM 9.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 70% BUST (historical). XGB: 11.9% boom, 59.9% bust (this week). MC/XGB favor bust BUT Pacheco is returning from injury with fresh legs. DEN allows 13.7 fppg to RBs (9th) is tough. With Rice likely OUT, could see more work. Mode: MODERATE (hopeful). Projection: 9.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 36.5 | ECR: 35
MC (Historical): BUST: 70% | MODERATE: 27% | BOOM: 3%
XGB (This Week): Boom 12% | Bust 60% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | LAC | 7.2 | - | 2.1 | -5.1 |
| 14 | HOU | 8.3 | - | 3.0 | -5.3 |
| 13 | DAL | 9.7 | - | 5.3 | -4.4 |
| 12 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | WSH | 11.4 | - | 5.8 | -5.6 |
| 7 | LV | 11.5 | - | 12.4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | DET | 8.9 | - | 6.1 | -2.8 |
| 5 | JAX | 7.7 | - | 8.6 | +0.9 |
| 4 | BAL | 9.2 | - | 12.8 | +3.6 |
| 3 | NYG | 11.1 | - | 5.8 | -5.3 |
| 2 | PHI | 10.9 | - | 3.9 | -7.0 |
| 1 | LAC | 12.8 | - | 4.8 | -8.0 |
Projections: ESPN 21.8 | LLM 18.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 27% BOOM, 44% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 11.4% boom, 22.6% bust (this week). AGREEMENT - Both favor moderate outcome. CAR defense rank 12 vs WR (16.7 fppg), game total 42.5. DK Metcalf suspension doesn't apply (he's on Steelers now). Safe WR1 floor. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 18.5 pts (within MODERATE range 13-22).
Context: O/U: 42.5 | ECR: 2
MC (Historical): BUST: 29% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 23% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | IND | 20.6 | 22.0 | 18.3 | -2.3 |
| 14 | ATL | 20.9 | 22.0 | 28.1 | +7.2 |
| 13 | MIN | 21.9 | 24.0 | 4.3 | -17.6 |
| 12 | TEN | 21.3 | - | 37.1 | +15.8 |
| 11 | LAR | 23.0 | - | 20.6 | -2.4 |
| 10 | ARI | 22.0 | - | 20.3 | -1.7 |
| 9 | WSH | 24.5 | - | 22.0 | -2.5 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 20.0 | - | 26.3 | +6.3 |
| 6 | JAX | 17.9 | - | 30.2 | +12.3 |
| 5 | TB | 15.9 | - | 27.2 | +11.3 |
| 4 | ARI | 16.4 | - | 13.0 | -3.4 |
| 3 | NO | 15.5 | - | 20.6 | +5.1 |
| 2 | PIT | 14.4 | - | 18.3 | +3.9 |
| 1 | SF | 14.7 | - | 19.4 | +4.7 |
Projections: ESPN 12.3 | LLM 10.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 49% BUST, 37% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 16.9% boom, 21.5% bust (this week). SEA defense rank 2 vs WR (13.9 fppg) is TOUGH. Game total 42.5 but McMillan is WR2 in ARI. Upside capped. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 10.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 42.5 | ECR: 20
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 17% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | NO | 13.2 | 11.0 | 4.5 | -8.7 |
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 13.0 | 11.3 | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | - | 11.5 | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | - | 33.0 | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | - | 11.0 | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | - | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | - | 16.9 | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | - | 6.3 | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | - | 17.9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | - | 13.3 | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | - | 10.2 | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | - | 7.8 | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | - | 16.0 | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | - | 11.8 | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 12.9 | LLM 15.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 27% BOOM, 43% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 42.3% boom, 22.4% bust (this week). XGB sees boom potential but CIN ranks 7th vs WR (good defense). Game total 52.5 creates passing volume. Healthy after heel injury. Mode: MODERATE (high end). Projection: 15.0 pts (within MODERATE range 9-16).
Context: O/U: 52.5 | ECR: 32
MC (Historical): BUST: 31% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 27%
XGB (This Week): Boom 42% | Bust 22% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 14 | LAR | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | TB | 13.7 | 14.0 | 12.9 | -0.8 |
| 12 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | SF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | SEA | 13.3 | - | 14.3 | +1.0 |
| 9 | DAL | 13.3 | - | 22.6 | +9.3 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | GB | 12.5 | - | 7.8 | -4.7 |
| 6 | IND | 11.9 | - | 5.2 | -6.7 |
| 5 | TEN | 12.8 | - | 13.8 | +1.0 |
| 4 | SEA | 11.3 | - | 18.6 | +7.3 |
| 3 | SF | 12.7 | - | 7.4 | -5.3 |
| 2 | CAR | 14.0 | - | 4.7 | -9.3 |
| 1 | NO | 13.9 | - | 18.1 | +4.2 |
Projections: ESPN 13.7 | LLM N/A (OUT)
Reasoning: STATUS: OUT - Concussion protocol. Did not practice Tuesday. Thursday Night Football makes clearance impossible. Projection: 0.0 pts.
Context: O/U: 36.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 37% | MODERATE: 24% | BOOM: 39%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 30% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | LAC | 17.2 | 11.0 | 12.1 | -5.1 |
| 14 | HOU | 17.1 | 17.0 | 7.4 | -9.7 |
| 13 | DAL | 18.1 | 18.4 | 29.4 | +11.3 |
| 12 | IND | 17.6 | - | 24.1 | +6.5 |
| 11 | DEN | 16.4 | - | 9.8 | -6.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 18.4 | - | 18.6 | +0.2 |
| 8 | WSH | 17.2 | - | 25.5 | +8.2 |
| 7 | LV | 13.7 | - | 23.2 | +9.5 |
| 6 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | NYG | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | PHI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | LAC | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 13.4 | LLM 12.0 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 29% BOOM, 44% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 12.6% boom, 42.6% bust (this week). HIGH BUST risk per XGB. MIN defense rank 6 vs WR (14.8 fppg) is tough. Big play ability keeps ceiling alive but floor is scary. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 12.0 pts (within MODERATE range 10-20).
Context: O/U: 43.5 | ECR: 12
MC (Historical): BUST: 28% | MODERATE: 44% | BOOM: 29%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 43% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | LAR | 13.9 | 18.0 | 26.4 | +12.5 |
| 14 | DAL | 13.8 | 17.3 | 17.3 | +3.5 |
| 13 | GB | 11.8 | 15.1 | 26.9 | +15.1 |
| 12 | NYG | 12.9 | - | 0.0 | -12.9 |
| 11 | PHI | 12.6 | - | 19.7 | +7.1 |
| 10 | WSH | 12.1 | - | 23.9 | +11.8 |
| 9 | MIN | 11.0 | - | 16.6 | +5.6 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | TB | 13.2 | - | 0.0 | -13.2 |
| 6 | KC | 10.7 | - | 18.6 | +7.9 |
| 5 | CIN | 11.8 | - | 2.0 | -9.8 |
| 4 | CLE | 10.7 | - | 5.7 | -5.0 |
| 3 | BAL | 12.9 | - | 6.3 | -6.6 |
| 2 | CHI | 13.0 | - | 18.8 | +5.8 |
| 1 | GB | 12.9 | - | 6.6 | -6.3 |
Projections: ESPN 9.8 | LLM 10.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 51% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 12.9% boom, 51.5% bust (this week). TIED TO JORDAN LOVE STATUS. If Love plays, BAL allows 19.8 fppg to WRs (22nd). If Willis plays, Reed capped. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 10.5 pts (if Love plays).
Context: O/U: 40.5 | ECR: 37
MC (Historical): BUST: 35% | MODERATE: 51% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 52% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | DEN | 10.0 | - | 10.5 | +0.5 |
| 14 | CHI | 7.7 | - | 9.3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | NYG | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | PHI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | CAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | PIT | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | ARI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | CLE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | WSH | 11.3 | - | 0.0 | -11.3 |
| 1 | DET | 11.2 | - | 13.5 | +2.3 |
Projections: ESPN 10.2 | LLM 9.5 (MODERATE)
Reasoning: MC: 30% BOOM, 45% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 18.8% boom, 56.0% bust (this week). TEN allows 7.3 fppg to TEs (19th). Only viable TE option. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 9.5 pts (within MODERATE range 6-12).
Context: O/U: 39.5 | ECR: 6
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 45% | BOOM: 30%
XGB (This Week): Boom 19% | Bust 56% (MEDIUM)
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | CAR | 9.7 | 10.0 | 7.0 | -2.7 |
| 14 | TB | 9.7 | 10.0 | 7.8 | -1.9 |
| 13 | MIA | 8.7 | 11.0 | 8.9 | +0.2 |
| 12 | ATL | 9.3 | - | 10.6 | +1.3 |
| 11 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | CAR | 8.9 | - | 19.2 | +10.2 |
| 9 | LAR | 8.3 | - | 12.1 | +3.8 |
| 8 | TB | 9.6 | - | 10.3 | +0.7 |
| 7 | CHI | 7.5 | - | 12.9 | +5.4 |
| 6 | NE | 7.9 | - | 1.5 | -6.4 |
| 5 | NYG | 7.9 | - | 3.7 | -4.2 |
| 4 | BUF | 11.1 | - | 5.8 | -5.3 |
| 3 | SEA | 10.6 | - | 11.1 | +0.5 |
| 2 | SF | 9.1 | - | 15.9 | +6.8 |
| 1 | ARI | 7.3 | - | 15.6 | +8.3 |
Projections: ESPN 12.3 | LLM 10.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 49% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 17% | Bust 22%
Notes: MC: 49% BUST, 37% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 16.9% boom, 21.5% bust (this week). SEA defense rank 2 vs WR (13.9 fppg) is TOUGH. Game total 42.5 but McMillan is WR2 in ARI. Upside capped. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 10.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | NO | 13.2 | 11.0 | 4.5 | -8.7 |
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | LAR | 13.2 | 13.0 | 11.3 | -1.9 |
| 12 | SF | 16.3 | - | 11.5 | -4.8 |
| 11 | ATL | 13.5 | - | 33.0 | +19.5 |
| 10 | NO | 12.2 | - | 11.0 | -1.2 |
| 9 | GB | 12.9 | - | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 8 | BUF | 13.4 | - | 16.9 | +3.5 |
| 7 | NYJ | 12.5 | - | 6.3 | -6.2 |
| 6 | DAL | 14.6 | - | 17.9 | +3.3 |
| 5 | MIA | 14.2 | - | 13.3 | -0.9 |
| 4 | NE | 14.2 | - | 10.2 | -4.0 |
| 3 | ATL | 13.2 | - | 7.8 | -5.4 |
| 2 | ARI | 13.5 | - | 16.0 | +2.5 |
| 1 | JAX | 13.9 | - | 11.8 | -2.1 |
Projections: ESPN 13.7 | LLM N/A
MC (Historical): BUST: 37% | MODERATE: 24% | BOOM: 39%
XGB (This Week): Boom 25% | Bust 30%
Notes: STATUS: OUT - Concussion protocol. Did not practice Tuesday. Thursday Night Football makes clearance impossible. Projection: 0.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | LAC | 17.2 | 11.0 | 12.1 | -5.1 |
| 14 | HOU | 17.1 | 17.0 | 7.4 | -9.7 |
| 13 | DAL | 18.1 | 18.4 | 29.4 | +11.3 |
| 12 | IND | 17.6 | - | 24.1 | +6.5 |
| 11 | DEN | 16.4 | - | 9.8 | -6.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 18.4 | - | 18.6 | +0.2 |
| 8 | WSH | 17.2 | - | 25.5 | +8.2 |
| 7 | LV | 13.7 | - | 23.2 | +9.5 |
| 6 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | JAX | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | NYG | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | PHI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | LAC | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 9.9 | LLM 8.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 61% | BOOM: 14%
XGB (This Week): Boom 18% | Bust 38%
Notes: MC: 61% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 17.6% boom, 37.6% bust (this week). NO allows 17.5 fppg to RBs (20th). Backup role limits ceiling. Mode: MODERATE (low end). Projection: 8.0 pts (within MODERATE range 6-13).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SF | 10.0 | 6.0 | 5.6 | -4.4 |
| 14 | CLE | 8.6 | 8.0 | 6.7 | -1.9 |
| 13 | JAX | 9.9 | 8.0 | 8.4 | -1.5 |
| 12 | SEA | 9.6 | - | 6.5 | -3.1 |
| 11 | HOU | 9.0 | - | 8.4 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | LAC | 9.5 | - | 9.2 | -0.3 |
| 8 | IND | 9.5 | - | 17.2 | +7.7 |
| 7 | NE | 7.8 | - | 7.0 | -0.8 |
| 6 | LV | 5.6 | - | 9.0 | +3.4 |
| 5 | ARI | 5.4 | - | 1.4 | -4.0 |
| 4 | HOU | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | LAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 1 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Projections: ESPN 5.4 | LLM 5.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 40% | MODERATE: 38% | BOOM: 22%
XGB (This Week): Boom 11% | Bust 60%
Notes: MC: 40% BUST, 39% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 10.6% boom, 59.7% bust (this week). ATL game total 49.5 is HIGH - not a D/ST friendly script. Mode: BUST. Projection: 5.0 pts (within BUST range 2-7).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | DET | 4.2 | 4.0 | -1.0 | -5.2 |
| 14 | ARI | 6.9 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -0.9 |
| 13 | CAR | 7.5 | 10.0 | 1.0 | -6.5 |
| 12 | TB | 5.7 | - | 20.0 | +14.3 |
| 11 | SEA | 5.4 | - | 5.0 | -0.4 |
| 10 | SF | 6.4 | - | 5.0 | -1.4 |
| 9 | NO | 8.2 | - | 10.0 | +1.8 |
| 7 | JAX | 6.7 | - | 9.0 | +2.3 |
| 6 | BAL | 6.2 | - | 16.0 | +9.8 |
| 5 | SF | 7.0 | - | -2.0 | -9.0 |
| 4 | IND | 5.7 | - | 6.0 | +0.3 |
| 3 | PHI | 5.2 | - | 7.0 | +1.8 |
| 2 | TEN | 7.4 | - | 9.0 | +1.6 |
| 1 | HOU | 5.6 | - | 12.0 | +6.4 |
Projections: ESPN 9.3 | LLM 6.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 61% | MODERATE: 21% | BOOM: 18%
XGB (This Week): Boom 10% | Bust 60%
Notes: MC: 61% BUST (historical). XGB: 9.6% boom, 60.4% bust (this week). AGREEMENT - Both strongly favor bust. LV allows 18.0 fppg to RBs (24th - easier) but Singletary's workload is inconsistent. Mode: BUST. Projection: 6.5 pts (within BUST range 2-8).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | WSH | 10.8 | 6.0 | 2.4 | -8.4 |
| 14 | BYE | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 13 | NE | 6.3 | - | 19.2 | +12.9 |
| 12 | DET | 9.9 | - | 4.7 | -5.2 |
| 11 | GB | 9.6 | - | 17.7 | +8.1 |
| 10 | CHI | 9.7 | - | 10.3 | +0.6 |
| 9 | SF | 5.5 | - | 7.1 | +1.6 |
| 8 | PHI | 1.2 | - | 3.8 | +2.6 |
| 7 | DEN | 0.8 | - | 0.2 | -0.6 |
| 6 | PHI | 1.0 | - | 1.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | NO | 6.0 | - | 3.4 | -2.6 |
| 4 | LAC | 7.4 | - | 2.8 | -4.6 |
| 3 | KC | 1.1 | - | 1.1 | +0.0 |
| 2 | DAL | 3.2 | - | 1.0 | -2.2 |
| 1 | WSH | 3.5 | - | 0.9 | -2.6 |
Projections: ESPN 8.9 | LLM 9.0
MC (Historical): BUST: 70% | MODERATE: 27% | BOOM: 3%
XGB (This Week): Boom 12% | Bust 60%
Notes: MC: 70% BUST (historical). XGB: 11.9% boom, 59.9% bust (this week). MC/XGB favor bust BUT Pacheco is returning from injury with fresh legs. DEN allows 13.7 fppg to RBs (9th) is tough. With Rice likely OUT, could see more work. Mode: MODERATE (hopeful). Projection: 9.0 pts.
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | LAC | 7.2 | - | 2.1 | -5.1 |
| 14 | HOU | 8.3 | - | 3.0 | -5.3 |
| 13 | DAL | 9.7 | - | 5.3 | -4.4 |
| 12 | IND | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | DEN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | BUF | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | WSH | 11.4 | - | 5.8 | -5.6 |
| 7 | LV | 11.5 | - | 12.4 | +0.9 |
| 6 | DET | 8.9 | - | 6.1 | -2.8 |
| 5 | JAX | 7.7 | - | 8.6 | +0.9 |
| 4 | BAL | 9.2 | - | 12.8 | +3.6 |
| 3 | NYG | 11.1 | - | 5.8 | -5.3 |
| 2 | PHI | 10.9 | - | 3.9 | -7.0 |
| 1 | LAC | 12.8 | - | 4.8 | -8.0 |
Projections: ESPN 9.8 | LLM 10.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 35% | MODERATE: 51% | BOOM: 15%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 52%
Notes: MC: 51% MODERATE (historical). XGB: 12.9% boom, 51.5% bust (this week). TIED TO JORDAN LOVE STATUS. If Love plays, BAL allows 19.8 fppg to WRs (22nd). If Willis plays, Reed capped. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 10.5 pts (if Love plays).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | DEN | 10.0 | - | 10.5 | +0.5 |
| 14 | CHI | 7.7 | - | 9.3 | +1.6 |
| 13 | DET | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 12 | MIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 11 | NYG | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 10 | PHI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 9 | CAR | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 8 | PIT | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | ARI | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 6 | CIN | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 5 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 4 | DAL | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 3 | CLE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 2 | WSH | 11.3 | - | 0.0 | -11.3 |
| 1 | DET | 11.2 | - | 13.5 | +2.3 |
Projections: ESPN 15.9 | LLM 16.5
MC (Historical): BUST: 38% | MODERATE: 37% | BOOM: 25%
XGB (This Week): Boom 13% | Bust 44%
Notes: MC: 37% MODERATE, 25% BOOM (historical). XGB: 13.3% boom, 43.8% bust (this week). CAR defense rank 7 vs QB (15.9 fppg). Game total 42.5 is moderate. Seattle should control game, limiting upside. Mode: MODERATE. Projection: 16.5 pts (within MODERATE range 13-22).
| Week | Opp | ESPN | LLM | Actual | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | IND | 15.2 | - | 11.3 | -3.8 |
| 14 | ATL | 14.3 | - | 22.3 | +8.0 |
| 13 | MIN | 15.2 | - | 3.1 | -12.1 |
| 12 | TEN | 15.2 | - | 17.7 | +2.5 |
| 11 | LAR | 15.0 | - | 4.3 | -10.8 |
| 10 | ARI | 16.6 | - | 4.9 | -11.7 |
| 9 | WSH | 18.2 | - | 27.2 | +8.9 |
| 8 | BYE | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| 7 | HOU | 14.9 | - | 8.6 | -6.3 |
| 6 | JAX | 15.3 | - | 20.0 | +4.7 |
| 5 | TB | 13.2 | - | 27.6 | +14.4 |
| 4 | ARI | 13.0 | - | 16.1 | +3.1 |
| 3 | NO | 14.1 | - | 16.7 | +2.7 |
| 2 | PIT | 12.8 | - | 15.8 | +3.0 |
| 1 | SF | 15.3 | - | 5.4 | -9.9 |
James Cook III (RB): 57% boom probability
Dak Prescott (QB): 51% boom probability
Jaylen Waddle (WR): 49% boom probability
Tyler Warren (TE): 41% boom probability
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% | Threat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cook III | RB | BUF | 17.2 | 16.5 | MODERATE | 57% | 31% | 12% | HIGH |
| Dak Prescott | QB | DAL | 20.5 | 19.0 | MODERATE | 51% | 34% | 15% | HIGH |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | 13.2 | 14.0 | MODERATE | 49% | 36% | 15% | HIGH |
| Tyler Warren | TE | IND | 12.1 | 11.0 | MODERATE | 41% | 40% | 19% | HIGH |
| Broncos D/ST | D/ST | DEN | 8.9 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 29% | 45% | 26% | MEDIUM |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | WSH | 11.9 | 13.5 | MODERATE | 27% | 52% | 22% | MEDIUM |
| De'Von Achane | RB | MIA | 22.3 | 20.0 | MODERATE | 13% | 64% | 23% | LOW |
| Cairo Santos | K | CHI | 8.4 | 7.0 | BUST | 13% | 28% | 59% | LOW |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | PHI | 12.4 | 13.0 | MODERATE | 9% | 48% | 43% | LOW |
James Cook III: MC (BUST: 32% | MODERATE: 45% | BOOM: 23%) | XGB (Boom 57% | Bust 12%)
Dak Prescott: MC (BUST: 32% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 27%) | XGB (Boom 51% | Bust 15%)
Jaylen Waddle: MC (BUST: 15% | MODERATE: 41% | BOOM: 44%) | XGB (Boom 49% | Bust 15%)
Tyler Warren: MC (BUST: 25% | MODERATE: 43% | BOOM: 32%) | XGB (Boom 41% | Bust 19%)
Broncos D/ST: MC (BUST: 15% | MODERATE: 57% | BOOM: 28%) | XGB (Boom 29% | Bust 26%)
Deebo Samuel: MC (BUST: 40% | MODERATE: 29% | BOOM: 31%) | XGB (Boom 27% | Bust 22%)
De'Von Achane: MC (BUST: 4% | MODERATE: 78% | BOOM: 18%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 23%)
Cairo Santos: MC (BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 30% | BOOM: 22%) | XGB (Boom 13% | Bust 59%)
DeVonta Smith: MC (BUST: 48% | MODERATE: 42% | BOOM: 10%) | XGB (Boom 9% | Bust 43%)
Season Phase: Playoffs - Maximize ceiling, ride-or-die with roster
Maximize ceiling for must-win championship matchup. Rashee Rice OUT creates urgent need.
Consistent TE1 option. With Juwan Johnson as only TE, could use backup. Jets allow average TE production. Hunter Henry has 10+ pts in multiple recent games.
Week 17: Solid floor play if Juwan Johnson disappoints
Stacks with Chargers offense. Even in tough matchup, Herbert's WR2 has boom potential. Could replace injured Rice's ceiling.
Week 17: Chargers playing for playoff seeding
Deep threat in Seattle. With DK Metcalf traded to Steelers, more targets available. Stacks with JSN and Darnold in SEA @ CAR game.
Week 17: Boom-or-bust deep threat
If Dobbins returns from injury, he's a LAC RB option that could eat into Hampton's work. Monitor practice reports.
Week 17: Stash if available, could be emergency RB
Click player names to view full MC histogram analysis.
Note: Protection thresholds adjust by season phase. Currently in Playoffs mode. Players with high ceiling or returning from injury before playoffs are protected from drop suggestions.
| Player | Pos | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% | Own% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 12.2 | 47% | 20% | 0.0% | |
| Jayden Daniels | QB | 0.0 | 34% | 30% | 0.0% | |
| Evan Engram | TE | 7.9 | 27% | 24% | 0.0% | |
| Jordan Love | QB | 16.6 | 27% | 21% | 0.0% | |
| Commanders D/ST | D/ST | 7.7 | 24% | 38% | 0.0% | |
| Bears D/ST | D/ST | 8.4 | 20% | 30% | 0.0% | |
| Matt Prater | K | 8.0 | 19% | 54% | 0.0% | |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | 10.1 | 18% | 48% | 0.0% | |
| Devin Neal | RB | 9.5 | 18% | 45% | 0.0% | |
| Giants D/ST | D/ST | 6.7 | 18% | 46% | 0.0% | |
| Harrison Mevis | K | 8.9 | 16% | 48% | 0.0% | |
| Dolphins D/ST | D/ST | 8.3 | 15% | 55% | 0.0% | |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | 11.8 | 15% | 39% | 0.0% | |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 14.7 | 15% | 48% | 0.0% | |
| 49ers D/ST | D/ST | 8.0 | 14% | 51% | 0.0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | 0.0 | OUT:100% | 34% | 30% | |
| Jordan Love | 16.6 | BUST:26%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:21% | 27% | 21% | |
| Sam Darnold | 15.4 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:37%, BOOM:25% | 13% | 44% | |
| Kyler Murray | 16.8 | BUST:17%, MODERATE:57%, BOOM:26% | 11% | 54% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.K. Dobbins | 12.2 | BUST:47%, MODERATE:39%, BOOM:14% | 47% | 20% | |
| Devin Neal | 9.5 | BUST:35%, MODERATE:46%, BOOM:19% | 18% | 45% | |
| Trey Benson | 8.6 | BUST:34%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:24% | 12% | 57% | |
| Quinshon Judkins | 11.7 | BUST:30%, MODERATE:38%, BOOM:32% | 9% | 64% | |
| Emanuel Wilson | 7.7 | BUST:55%, MODERATE:35%, BOOM:10% | 9% | 60% | |
| Jacory Croskey-Merritt | 9.4 | BUST:54%, MODERATE:34%, BOOM:12% | 8% | 61% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Kupp | 10.1 | BUST:46%, MODERATE:42%, BOOM:12% | 18% | 48% | |
| Quentin Johnston | 11.8 | BUST:29%, MODERATE:53%, BOOM:18% | 15% | 39% | |
| Garrett Wilson | 14.7 | BUST:38%, MODERATE:40%, BOOM:22% | 15% | 48% | |
| Rashid Shaheed | 10.3 | BUST:28%, MODERATE:43%, BOOM:30% | 14% | 53% | |
| Keenan Allen | 11.7 | BUST:69%, MODERATE:22%, BOOM:9% | 9% | 56% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | MC Scenarios | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Engram | 7.9 | BUST:34%, MODERATE:45%, BOOM:20% | 27% | 24% | |
| Hunter Henry | 9.7 | BUST:45%, MODERATE:43%, BOOM:12% | 8% | 62% | |
| Oronde Gadsden | 13.8 | BOOM:10%, MODERATE:40%, BUST:50% | 0% | 0% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Prater | 8.0 | 19% | 54% | |
| Harrison Mevis | 8.9 | 16% | 48% | |
| Evan McPherson | 9.6 | 9% | 60% |
| Player | Team | ESPN | Boom% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Commanders D/ST | 7.7 | 24% | 38% | |
| Bears D/ST | 8.4 | 20% | 30% | |
| Giants D/ST | 6.7 | 18% | 46% |
Win Probability
Floor: -37.6 pts | Median: +1.7 pts | Ceiling: +40.6 pts
Key: Click any row to view full histogram. ↑15+ = P(≥15pts) | ↓5- = P(<5pts)
Variance: HIGH CV>0.5 (boom/bust) | MED CV>0.3 (moderate) | LOW CV≤0.3 (consistent)
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | MED | 21.0 | 4.4-28.0 | ↑15+: 65% | ↓5-: 12% | |
| Bucky Irving | RB | HIGH | 14.5 | 5.1-23.8 | ↑15+: 40% | ↓5-: 10% | |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | HIGH | 12.5 | 3.6-24.2 | ↑15+: 33% | ↓5-: 18% | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | MED | 18.5 | 6.3-30.0 | ↑15+: 63% | ↓5-: 4% | |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | HIGH | 15.0 | 3.7-22.0 | ↑15+: 32% | ↓5-: 18% | |
| Jameson Williams | WR | HIGH | 12.0 | 4.2-26.4 | ↑15+: 51% | ↓5-: 14% | |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | HIGH | 9.5 | 2.9-16.6 | ↑15+: 15% | ↓5-: 23% | |
| Chargers D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 9.0 | 1.0-18.1 | ↑15+: 20% | ↓5-: 27% | |
| Jason Myers | K | MED | 9.0 | 5.4-19.1 | ↑15+: 27% | ↓5-: 7% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | QB | HIGH | 16.5 | 3.9-27.3 | ↑15+: 50% | ↓5-: 16% | |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | HIGH | 8.0 | 2.6-18.0 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 30% | |
| Devin Singletary | RB | HIGH | 6.5 | 0.6-17.9 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 54% | |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | HIGH | 9.0 | 2.3-15.5 | ↑15+: 11% | ↓5-: 42% | |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | HIGH | 10.0 | 4.9-25.0 | ↑15+: 27% | ↓5-: 11% | |
| Jayden Reed | WR | HIGH | 10.5 | 4.5-22.7 | ↑15+: 25% | ↓5-: 13% | |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 5.0 | 1.2-18.5 | ↑15+: 19% | ↓5-: 34% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashee Rice | WR | MED | 0.0 | 6.7-27.3 | ↑15+: 52% | ↓5-: 3% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dak Prescott | QB | MED | 19.0 | 7.6-29.9 | ↑15+: 64% | ↓5-: 3% | |
| De'Von Achane | RB | MED | 20.0 | 10.8-31.2 | ↑15+: 65% | ↓5-: 3% | |
| James Cook III | RB | MED | 16.5 | 6.2-27.4 | ↑15+: 52% | ↓5-: 4% | |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | HIGH | 13.0 | 4.5-24.6 | ↑15+: 36% | ↓5-: 14% | |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | HIGH | 14.0 | 3.2-22.5 | ↑15+: 37% | ↓5-: 20% | |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | HIGH | 13.5 | 3.6-22.5 | ↑15+: 33% | ↓5-: 20% | |
| Tyler Warren | TE | HIGH | 11.0 | 3.3-18.3 | ↑15+: 21% | ↓5-: 21% | |
| Broncos D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 9.0 | 0.8-17.9 | ↑15+: 18% | ↓5-: 31% | |
| Cairo Santos | K | HIGH | 7.0 | 3.8-16.3 | ↑15+: 14% | ↓5-: 23% |
| Player | Pos | Var | Proj | Range (80%) | Boom/Bust | Distribution |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Lawrence | QB | HIGH | 18.8 | 8.4-31.8 | ↑15+: 62% | ↓5-: 2% | |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | HIGH | 7.5 | 1.8-14.4 | ↑15+: 9% | ↓5-: 35% | |
| Chimere Dike | WR | HIGH | 10.0 | 1.7-21.1 | ↑15+: 28% | ↓5-: 36% | |
| Dallas Goedert | TE | HIGH | 11.9 | 3.8-23.3 | ↑15+: 29% | ↓5-: 20% | |
| Taysom Hill | TE | HIGH | 5.4 | 0.7-13.7 | ↑15+: 8% | ↓5-: 71% | |
| Buccaneers D/ST | D/ST | HIGH | 10.1 | 1.4-21.1 | ↑15+: 26% | ↓5-: 32% | |
| Chase McLaughlin | K | HIGH | 9.2 | 2.7-16.8 | ↑15+: 16% | ↓5-: 25% |
| Player | Position | BOOM | MODERATE | BUST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucky Irving | RB | 17% @ 24.3 | 59% @ 14.2 | 25% @ 5.9 | 13.9 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 27% @ 28.7 | 44% @ 18.4 | 29% @ 7.6 | 18.0 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 27% @ 20.1 | 43% @ 12.0 | 31% @ 5.2 | 12.1 |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 25% @ 23.1 | 43% @ 12.1 | 32% @ 5.2 | 12.6 |
| Jason Myers | K | 25% @ 18.3 | 44% @ 11.9 | 31% @ 6.5 | 11.8 |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 30% @ 14.9 | 45% @ 8.8 | 25% @ 3.8 | 9.4 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 29% @ 24.4 | 44% @ 15.6 | 28% @ 5.4 | 15.3 |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 74% @ 21.4 | 2% @ 14.7 | 24% @ 6.0 | 17.5 |
| Chargers D/ST | D/ST | 36% @ 15.0 | 42% @ 8.4 | 22% @ 2.8 | 9.5 |
Model input: This week's predicted mode probabilities (LLM uses these to make final decisions)
| Player | Pos | ESPN | LLM | Mode | Boom% | Mod% | Bust% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chargers D/ST | D/ST | 6.3 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 55.0% | 29.8% | 15.2% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 12.9 | 15.0 | MODERATE | 42.3% | 35.3% | 22.4% |
| Rashee Rice | WR | 13.7 | 0.0 | OUT | 24.9% | 45.3% | 29.8% |
| Jason Myers | K | 8.4 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 23.2% | 55.1% | 21.6% |
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 10.2 | 9.5 | MODERATE | 18.8% | 25.1% | 56.0% |
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 9.9 | 8.0 | MODERATE | 17.6% | 44.8% | 37.6% |
| Tetairoa McMillan | WR | 12.3 | 10.0 | MODERATE | 16.9% | 61.6% | 21.5% |
| Jacoby Brissett | QB | 20.3 | 21.0 | BOOM | 13.5% | 50.0% | 36.4% |
| Sam Darnold | QB | 15.9 | 16.5 | MODERATE | 13.3% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 14.7 | 14.5 | MODERATE | 12.9% | 38.9% | 48.2% |
| Jayden Reed | WR | 9.8 | 10.5 | MODERATE | 12.9% | 35.6% | 51.5% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 13.4 | 12.0 | MODERATE | 12.6% | 44.9% | 42.6% |
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 8.9 | 9.0 | MODERATE | 11.9% | 28.2% | 59.9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 21.8 | 18.5 | MODERATE | 11.4% | 66.0% | 22.6% |
| Rams D/ST | D/ST | 5.4 | 5.0 | BUST | 10.6% | 29.7% | 59.7% |
| Devin Singletary | RB | 9.3 | 6.5 | BUST | 9.6% | 30.1% | 60.4% |
| Omarion Hampton | RB | 14.9 | 12.5 | MODERATE | 9.0% | 33.3% | 57.7% |
Week 17 standings with live scores included. ESPN updates official totals on Tuesday.
| Rank | Team | Record | PF (Total) | PA (Total) | +/- | This Week | Streak | Playoff % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitty's Piggy Skins | 10-5 | 1861.3 | 1676.5 | +184.8 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L1 | 100.0% |
| 2 | 4th and pinches | 10-5 | 1771.1 | 1765.4 | +5.7 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W2 | 100.0% |
| 3 | Valued Customers ← | 9-6 | 1822.8 | 1558.6 | +264.2 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W5 | 100.0% |
| 4 | Ryan's Rowdy Team | 8-7 | 1759.9 | 1725.0 | +35.0 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W1 | 100.0% |
| 5 | Wookie of the Year | 8-7 | 1705.9 | 1731.9 | -26.0 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L1 | 0.0% |
| 6 | Meat Pistols | 8-7 | 1515.0 | 1664.9 | -149.9 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L2 | 0.0% |
| 7 | Torta Pounders Football Club | 7-8 | 1730.5 | 1674.7 | +55.9 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L2 | 0.0% |
| 8 | Moms rules | 7-8 | 1664.9 | 1778.5 | -113.6 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W1 | 0.0% |
| 9 | Smooth Roosters | 7-8 | 1664.4 | 1646.9 | +17.5 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W3 | 0.0% |
| 10 | The Warsaw Pact | 6-9 | 1653.5 | 1752.0 | -98.5 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | W2 | 0.0% |
| 11 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits | 6-9 | 1584.0 | 1689.6 | -105.6 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L5 | 0.0% |
| 12 | Auto DraftKings | 4-11 | 1697.9 | 1767.4 | -69.5 | 0.0 vs 0.0 | L4 | 0.0% |
| Away Team | Score | Score | Home Team | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kitty's Piggy Skins | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Valued Customers |
| 4th and pinches | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Ryan's Rowdy Team |
| Wookie of the Year | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Moms rules |
| Meat Pistols | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | The Warsaw Pact |
| Torta Pounders Football Club | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Auto DraftKings |
| Smooth Roosters | 0.0 | @ | 0.0 | Chupi and the End Zone Bandits |
Weekly and cumulative points scored by each team throughout the 2025 season. Your team (Valued Customers) is highlighted in green.
Updated: December 24, 2024 (Wednesday)
RASHEE RICE (WR, KC) - OUT - Status: Concussion protocol, did NOT practice Tuesday - Game: Thursday Night Football vs Broncos (Dec 26) - Impact: With short week, virtually impossible to clear protocol - Action: MUST bench - move to IR or bench slot - Source: SportingNews, DraftSharks
JORDAN LOVE (QB, GB) - QUESTIONABLE - Status: Concussion protocol from Week 16 vs Bears hit - Complication: Backup Malik Willis ALSO injured (shoulder) - Game: Saturday vs Ravens (Dec 28) - Impact: High-risk start even if cleared - consider benching for Brissett - Source: PackersWire, Yahoo Sports
SAM DARNOLD (QB, SEA) - Healthy, starting for Seattle JACOBY BRISSETT (QB, ARI) - Healthy, starting for Arizona
HIGH-SCORING GAMES (O/U 48+) - ARI @ CIN: 52.5 O/U → ELITE for Brissett, MHJ (Bengals D weak) - DAL @ WSH: 51.5 O/U → Opponent's Dak Prescott, Deebo Samuel benefit - CHI @ SF: 52.5 O/U → Opponent's Cairo Santos in shootout
MODERATE GAMES (O/U 40-48) - TB @ MIA: 45.5 O/U → Bucky Irving faces Dolphins - PHI @ BUF: 44.5 O/U → Opponent's Cook, DeVonta Smith - DET @ MIN: 43.5 O/U → Jameson Williams vs tough MIN D (rank 6) - SEA @ CAR: 42.5 O/U → JSN, Sam Darnold, Jason Myers
LOW-SCORING GAMES (O/U < 40) - DEN @ KC: 36.5 O/U → CONCERNING for KC offense (Rice likely OUT) - LAC @ HOU: 39.5 O/U → Omarion Hampton, Chargers D/ST
ELITE MATCHUPS (Start with Confidence) 1. Jacoby Brissett vs CIN - Bengals allow 22.2 fppg to QBs (27th), O/U 52.5 - MC: 74% BOOM historical - Verdict: HIGH-ceiling play in shootout
Verdict: Rock-solid WR1
Marvin Harrison Jr. vs CIN - Bengals allow 15.3 fppg to WRs (7th... wait, that's GOOD defense)
GOOD MATCHUPS 4. Bucky Irving vs MIA - Dolphins allow 15.4 fppg to RBs (14th), O/U 45.5 - Healthy, RB1 role - MC: 59% MODERATE, 17% BOOM - Verdict: Safe floor, decent ceiling
TOUGH MATCHUPS 6. Jameson Williams vs MIN - Vikings allow 14.8 fppg to WRs (6th) - XGB: 42.6% BUST probability - MIN defense is legit - MC: 29% BOOM, 28% BUST - Verdict: High-variance play
AVOID/BENCH 8. Rashee Rice vs DEN - OUT with concussion 9. Jordan Love vs BAL - Questionable + tough matchup (BAL D rank 14 vs QB) 10. Jayden Reed vs BAL - If Love doesn't play, Reed capped
CRITICAL SWING GAME: TB @ MIA (50.2 combined pts) - We have: Bucky Irving (14.7) - Opponent has: De'Von Achane (22.3), Jaylen Waddle (13.2) - NEGATIVE CORRELATION: If MIA offense explodes, opponent benefits more - IF TB gets blowout lead → Bucky runs clock, good for us - IF MIA gets lead → Achane/Waddle rack up points, bad for us - VERDICT: Need competitive game, prefer TB lead
KC vs DEN STACK (31.5 combined pts) - We have: Rashee Rice (13.7 - likely OUT), Isiah Pacheco (8.9) - Opponent has: Broncos D/ST (8.9) - With Rice OUT, our exposure drops to just Pacheco (8.9) - Broncos D/ST could feast if KC offense struggles without Rice - VERDICT: Opponent's Broncos D/ST is a CONCERN
SEA @ CAR (58.4 pts - ALL OURS) - We have: JSN (21.8), Sam Darnold (15.9), Jason Myers (8.4), T-Mac (12.3) - No opponent players in this game - POSITIVE for us: All upside, no hedge needed - HIGH game total exposure
MUST START: - Jacoby Brissett (QB) - Elite matchup, high O/U - Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR) - Locked in as WR1 - Bucky Irving (RB) - Healthy, workhorse role - Omarion Hampton (RB) - Despite tough matchup, volume play
FLEX CONSIDERATIONS: - Marvin Harrison Jr. - High ceiling in shootout - Jameson Williams - Boom/bust but talent is there - Juwan Johnson - Only TE, start by default
BENCH: - Rashee Rice - OUT (concussion) - Jordan Love - Concussion protocol, even if plays is risky - Jayden Reed - Tied to Love's status - Tyjae Spears - Backup role - Devin Singletary - Low upside
D/ST CHOICE: - Chargers D/ST vs HOU (6.3) - XGB: 55% BOOM prob - Rams D/ST vs ATL (5.4) - Worse matchup
Matchup: Valued Customers vs Kitty's Piggy Skins
ESPN Projections: - Us: 122.8 pts - Them: 127.0 pts
KEY SWING FACTORS: 1. If Rashee Rice is OUT (likely) → We lose ~13 pts, need replacement 2. If Jordan Love is OUT → We likely start Brissett (upgrade in this matchup) 3. TB @ MIA game script → Determines ~50 pts of combined exposure
OPPONENT THREATS: - De'Von Achane (22.3) - Explosive RB, TD-dependent boom - Dak Prescott (20.5) - Good matchup vs WSH - James Cook III (17.2) - Consistent producer
VERDICT: Slight underdog but winnable if: 1. We pivot off injured players correctly 2. JSN/Brissett hit their ceilings 3. TB game stays competitive
No waiver recommendations this week.
No major injury concerns.
Multi-agent analysis for strategic decisions (Week 17)
Live data from completed games
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 20.3 | 21.0 | 0.0 | -21.0 |
| Opponent | RB | De'Von Achane | 22.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | -20.0 |
| Opponent | QB | Dak Prescott | 20.5 | 19.0 | 0.0 | -19.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 21.8 | 18.5 | 0.0 | -18.5 |
| Our Team | QB | Sam Darnold | 15.9 | 16.5 | 0.0 | -16.5 |
| Opponent | RB | James Cook III | 17.2 | 16.5 | 0.0 | -16.5 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 12.9 | 15.0 | 0.0 | -15.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 14.7 | 14.5 | 0.0 | -14.5 |
| Opponent | WR | Jaylen Waddle | 13.2 | 14.0 | 0.0 | -14.0 |
| Opponent | WR | Deebo Samuel | 11.9 | 13.5 | 0.0 | -13.5 |
| Opponent | WR | DeVonta Smith | 12.4 | 13.0 | 0.0 | -13.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 14.9 | 12.5 | 0.0 | -12.5 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 13.4 | 12.0 | 0.0 | -12.0 |
| Opponent | TE | Tyler Warren | 12.1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | -11.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Jayden Reed | 9.8 | 10.5 | 0.0 | -10.5 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 12.3 | 10.0 | 0.0 | -10.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 10.2 | 9.5 | 0.0 | -9.5 |
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 8.4 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Chargers D/ST | 6.3 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Isiah Pacheco | 8.9 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Broncos D/ST | 8.9 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -9.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 9.9 | 8.0 | 0.0 | -8.0 |
| Opponent | K | Cairo Santos | 8.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | -7.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 9.3 | 6.5 | 0.0 | -6.5 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 5.4 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -5.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 13.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | +0.0 |
| Free Agent | QB | Sam Darnold | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | +0.0 |
Final review from run_007 (2025-12-20)
| Category | Pos | Player | ESPN | LLM | Actual | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Free Agent | K | Ka'imi Fairbairn | 0.0 | - | 16.0 | +16.0 |
| Free Agent | RB | Isiah Pacheco | 0.0 | - | 13.5 | +13.5 |
| Our Team | RB | Tyjae Spears | 8.7 | 10.0 | 21.5 | +11.5 |
| Our Team | QB | Jordan Love | 17.4 | 15.0 | 3.8 | -11.2 |
| Free Agent | K | Eddy Pineiro | 0.0 | - | 11.0 | +11.0 |
| Our Team | QB | Jacoby Brissett | 18.8 | 21.0 | 10.6 | -10.4 |
| Opponent | TE | Trey McBride | 16.8 | - | 6.7 | -10.1 |
| Our Team | WR | Jameson Williams | 15.9 | 22.0 | 12.0 | -10.0 |
| Our Team | WR | Marvin Harrison Jr. | 14.2 | 12.0 | 2.4 | -9.6 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Chargers D/ST | 4.2 | 12.0 | 4.0 | -8.0 |
| Our Team | TE | Juwan Johnson | 9.1 | 9.0 | 16.9 | +7.9 |
| Our Team | RB | Isiah Pacheco | 9.1 | 6.0 | 13.5 | +7.5 |
| Our Team | RB | Bucky Irving | 15.2 | 14.0 | 7.1 | -6.9 |
| Opponent | RB | Rico Dowdle | 15.2 | - | 8.3 | -6.9 |
| Our Team | WR | Tetairoa McMillan | 13.1 | 13.0 | 19.3 | +6.3 |
| Our Team | WR | Jayden Reed | 11.2 | 13.0 | 7.1 | -5.9 |
| Opponent | WR | DK Metcalf | 13.5 | - | 8.2 | -5.3 |
| Our Team | WR | Rashee Rice | 17.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | -5.0 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Patriots D/ST | 0.0 | - | 5.0 | +5.0 |
| Opponent | RB | Michael Carter | 11.0 | - | 6.5 | -4.5 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Chargers D/ST | 0.0 | - | 4.0 | +4.0 |
| Opponent | QB | Baker Mayfield | 16.6 | - | 12.7 | -3.9 |
| Opponent | D/ST | Jaguars D/ST | 5.6 | - | 2.0 | -3.6 |
| Our Team | RB | Omarion Hampton | 13.2 | 13.0 | 16.5 | +3.5 |
| Opponent | K | Harrison Butker | 8.0 | - | 11.0 | +3.0 |
| Our Team | RB | Devin Singletary | 7.5 | 4.0 | 5.6 | +1.6 |
| Opponent | RB | Jahmyr Gibbs | 23.8 | - | 22.8 | -1.0 |
| Free Agent | D/ST | Chiefs D/ST | 0.0 | - | 1.0 | +1.0 |
| Opponent | WR | Michael Wilson | 13.4 | - | 13.2 | -0.2 |
| Our Team | WR | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 19.9 | 23.6 | 23.6 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | K | Jason Myers | 8.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | +0.0 |
| Our Team | D/ST | Rams D/ST | 5.7 | 4.0 | 4.0 | +0.0 |
This tab logs discrepancies detected during the weekly analysis process.
No discrepancies detected this week.